Core assets

Main assets for classic portfolios. First ETF per row is the default target. Links open Total Real Returns.

Asset ETFs 1Y 5Y 10Y 20Y
Total Return / Max Drawdown / Sharpe
S&P Stock SPY (default) (SPDR S&P 500) , IVV (iShares Core S&P 500) , VOO (Vanguard S&P 500) , QQQ (Invesco QQQ) +19.3%
-14.6%
1.02
+93.5%
-24.5%
0.87
+300.5%
-33.7%
0.87
+668.9%
-55.2%
0.62
Au Gold GLD (default) (SPDR Gold) , IAU (iShares Gold Trust) , IAUM (iShares Gold Trust Micro) +74.0%
-13.9%
2.27
+194.3%
-21.0%
1.35
+288.4%
-22.0%
0.95
+747.6%
-45.6%
0.68
Bd Bonds BND (default) (Vanguard Total Bond) , AGG (iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond) , TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond) +5.6%
-2.4%
1.34
+2.3%
-17.9%
0.11
+22.0%
-18.6%
0.39
+79.1%
-18.6%
0.62
RE REITs VNQ (default) (Vanguard Real Estate) , SCHH (Schwab U.S. REIT ETF) , IYR (iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF) +6.3%
-14.5%
0.46
+33.7%
-34.5%
0.4
+77.7%
-42.4%
0.38
+231.8%
-73.1%
0.35
Crypto IBIT (default) (iShares Bitcoin Trust) , FBTC (Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund) , ETHA (iShares Ethereum Trust) -21.6%
-49.4%
-0.29
+45.3%
-49.4%
0.6
+45.3%
-49.4%
0.6
+45.3%
-49.4%
0.6
$ Cash BIL (default) (SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF) , SGOV (iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF) +4.0%
-0.0%
19.44
+17.2%
-0.1%
12.1
+23.1%
-0.2%
8.02
+28.0%
-0.8%
2.68

Core assets – 20Y total return

Monthly total return (or price) of each default ETF over the last 20 years.

Classic portfolios — Diversification is the only free lunch

Portfolio Allocation 1Y 5Y 10Y 20Y
Total Return / Max Drawdown / Sharpe
Permanent Portfolio
Harry Browne: 25% stocks, 25% bonds, 25% gold, 25% cash.
+24.1%
-4.5%
2.61
+66.0%
-12.3%
1.47
+131.6%
-12.3%
1.30
+262.8%
-17.2%
1.00
60/40
Classic balanced portfolio.
+14.1%
-9.1%
1.15
+52.5%
-20.6%
0.81
+158.8%
-21.8%
0.91
+333.5%
-34.7%
0.71
All Weather
Ray Dalio inspired portfolio.
+19.0%
-5.0%
2.32
+48.5%
-17.2%
1.07
+117.4%
-17.2%
1.10
+266.6%
-18.6%
0.97
Golden Butterfly
Balanced diversified portfolio.
+23.7%
-6.2%
2.23
+67.6%
-17.6%
1.19
+161.6%
-17.6%
1.14
+356.3%
-23.9%
0.92
Barbell
Conservative portfolio with small equity exposure.
+6.6%
-1.9%
2.05
+14.5%
-12.4%
0.65
+40.1%
-12.4%
0.88
+91.4%
-12.4%
0.96

Classic portfolios – 20Y total return

Growth of $10,000 over 20 years for each allocation (same data as table above).